UFC Vegas 75, aka UFC Fight Night 225, aka UFC Vettori vs. Cannonier, goes down on June 17 in Las Vegas.
However, by the time Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier step into the cage, it will be almost 4am on June 18 in the UK.
Whether you’re planning to watch it live or catch the highlights, the betting markets are open. So, by way of giving you something to grapple with, here’s our UFC betting preview and the best and latest odds for Vettori vs. Cannonier.
Current odds for the Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier fight
What are the latest betting odds for Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier? Based on the top odds at our recommended UK betting sites, the most competitive lines for UFC Vegas 75 are:
- Marvin Vettori to win: 17/20 (Parimatch)
- Jared Cannonier to win: 1/1 (bet365)
Best bookies for betting on Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier
Here are our best-rated UFC betting sites in the UK:
Marvin Vettori’s current form and latest matches
Marvin Vettori’s recent results probably sound worse than they actually are. Wins over Jack Hermansson and Kevin Holland are followed by two wins and two losses. A 50% win rate in four fights isn’t ideal heading into a match against top contender Jared Cannonier.
However, to put things in perspective, Vettori’s losses were to middleweight champion Israel Adesanya and former middleweight champion, Robert Whittaker. From a betting perspective, Marvin Vettori’s recent results tell us two things:
- He's a solid fighter who beats most of his opponents
- He loses whenever he faces the middleweight division’s elite
Those are important things to consider when you’re sizing up the latest UFC Fight Night odds, but you can’t view them in a vacuum. In other words, they are relevant points, but you need to put them into context. The context, in this situation, is whether Jared Cannonier is an elite fighter. He’s very good, but is he championship material? If he is, Vettori might struggle. If he’s not, the odds on a Vettori win look good.
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Jared Cannonier's current form and latest matches
The answer to whether Jared Cannonier is an elite fighter or not becomes clear when you look at his results. The Killa Gorilla has won three of his last four fights so, in this regard, he’s in better form than Vettori. However, if we go back one step further, another loss gets added to his record.
Therefore, in terms of recent form, Cannonier and Vettori are fairly evenly matched. Things get even more interesting when you consider that Cannonier’s two losses are to Adesanya and Whittaker. Is that irony, fate or simply some shrewd matchmaking by the UFC?
Whatever it is, the results suggest Cannonier is a solid fighter who’s capable of beating almost everyone in the division. However, based on his wins and losses, he’s not quite elite. Therefore, we can say the same about Cannonier as we did Vettori. If the opponent is solid, Cannonier should win. If the opponent is elite, he’s probably going to lose.
Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier betting tips and odds
We’ve given you a taste of what to expect when Vettori and Cannonier throw down at UFC Vegas 75. It’s a close fight and, in the following sections, we delve deeper into the stats to see if the odds are on point or a little off. Before that, here are three Vettori vs. Cannonier bets you might want to consider:
Cannonier by decision 3/1 (BetUK)
Common wisdom suggests Vettori will secure the win if it goes all five rounds because 42% of his wins are by decision. However, as we’ll explain later, Cannonier is the slightly better striker. What’s more, he got a decision win over Sean Strickland who is just as durable as Vettori. Therefore, at 3/1, Cannonier by decision is a solid bet.
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Bet on Cannonier to win by decision at 3/1 with BetUK
Under 4.5 rounds at 11/8 (Spreadex)
It would be fair to assume this fight is going to the judges based on both fighter’s records. At 8/15 on Spreadex, the odds on over 4.5 rounds aren’t bad, but we think there’s value in taking the under. The price isn’t great at 11/8, but you could combine this bet with the latest bonuses on Spreadex. For example, if you’re a new customer, you can use our link to get £50 worth of bonus bets when you stake £25.
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Bet on the match to last under 4.5 rounds at 11/8 with Spreadex
Vettori to win by submission at 8/1 (Unibet)
A UFC Fight Night bet that might be flying under the radar is Vettori at 8/1 to win by submission. We know he’s a bit of a brawler who can slug it out for five rounds. We also know his fights often go to a decision. However, if we assume Cannonier has the advantage standing up (see our analysis below), Vettori might take it to the ground. He attempts more takedowns, and he has nine submission wins. At 8/1, this could be the bet of the night.
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Bet on Vettori to win by submission at 8/1 with Unibet
How to place a bet on Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier
You can bet on Vettori vs. Cannonier by following the steps below:
- Read our UK sports betting reviews.
- Use our safe sign-up links to start the registration process.
- Complete the registration process and verify your account.
- Use the cashier page at your chosen betting site to make a deposit.
- Tap “MMA” on the site’s sports betting menu.
- Find the current UFC Vegas 75 odds.
- Tap the odds next to your preferred pick.
- Use the bet slip to enter your stake and lock in a prediction.
What other matches are on the fight card for UFC Vegas 75?
Vettori vs. Cannonier is the headliner on June 17, but it’s not the only fight. Other odds you might want to consider are:
Joaquim Silva (13/2) vs. Arman Tsarukyan (1/12)
Tsarukyan is by far the more experienced of the two fighters in this lightweight clash, so look for the result to follow the odds.
Christian Duncan (4/6) vs. Armen Petrosyan (6/5)
This is a close one, and public opinion is split 58/42 in favour of Duncan. He’s 8-0, so it’s a good shout, but Petrosyan is tough.
Lucas Almeida (6/4) vs. Pat Sabatini (8/15)
Both fighters are 4-1 in their last five, but Almeida only has one fight in the UFC, so the odds favour Sabatini in this one.
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Who is the favourite in the fight between Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier?
Based on the latest UFC betting odds, Vettori is the favourite. However, in our expert opinion, this is a pick’em fight. There’s little to choose on either side. Therefore, it might be worth letting the betting odds guide us. The latest Jared Cannonier odds have him as the slight underdog at evens. However, the latest Marvin Vettori odds aren’t far behind. At 17/20, the Italian is a marginal favourite.
The betting lines don’t really give us much to go on. Moreover, this preview isn’t all about odds. They matter, of course, but we’ve already explained that these two fighters have similar records. They’ve both beat some of the toughest middleweights but faltered against the division’s elite. Therefore, we can’t rely too heavily on the latest Vettori odds or Cannonier odds.
Our sports betting strategy at this point should hinge on the mantra: styles make fights. Both fighters are primarily strikers, but Cannonier has the better TKO/KO rate. The counter to this point is that Vettori is extremely durable and has only ever lost by decision. Let’s look at the UFC’s fight metrics to see if we can prise apart these two:
Marvin Vettori UFC fight stats
- Significant strikes landed per minute: 4.38
- Significant striking accuracy: 44%
- Significant strikes absorbed per minute: 3.65
- Significant strikes defended: 59%
Jared Cannonier UFC fight stats
- Significant strikes landed per minute: 4.00
- Significant striking accuracy: 50%
- Significant strikes absorbed per minute: 3.86
- Significant strikes defended: 61%
Again, the two fighters are closely matched. But, in the pursuit of making betting predictions, we can make the case that Cannonier throws cleaner strikes. His accuracy rate is better than Vettori’s and he throws fewer shots per minute. This tells us he’s slightly more methodical than the marauding Marvin Vettori.
This subtle difference could prove the difference over five rounds. It may mean Cannonier stops Vettori (although the odds are against that) or the judges might give him the nod. When we piece all of these elements together, our analysis seems to go against the UFC Vegas 75 odds. It’s close, but Cannonier is our favourite.
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What’s the weight category of the Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier fight?
Vettori and Cannonier will fight over five rounds in the middleweight division at UFC Vegas 75. The fight takes place on Saturday, June 17 (local time), at the Apex in Las Vegas.
Is this the first time Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier will be fighting?
Yes, UFC Vegas 75 will be the first time Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier have met in the cage. They have a number of common opponents, including Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker, but neither have faced each other in the UFC.
Who has more KOs in their career, Vettori or Cannonier?
Jared Cannonier has more TKOs and KOs than Marvin Vettori. The Killa Gorilla has stopped 10 of his 22 opponents with strikes, while just two of Vettori's 19 wins have come by TKO/KO.
Which fighter has more wins by submission, Marvin Vettori or Jared Cannonier?
Despite being more of a standup fighter than grappler, Marvin Vettori has more submissions on his record than Jared Cannonier. Of his 19 wins, Vettori has submitted nine opponents, while Cannonier has two submission wins.
Another stat that might be useful when you’re sizing up the latest Vettori vs. Cannonier odds is their takedown rate. Cannonier has a takedown average (per 15 minutes) of just 0.17. In contrast, Vettori’s takedown average (per 15 minutes) is 1.77.
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Who has more professional matches, Marvin Vettori or Jared Cannonier?
The Italian Dream, Marvin Vettori, has more professional MMA fights than Jared Cannonier. Vettori has fought professionally 25 times and won 19. Cannonier has 22 pro fights and 16 wins. Both fighters have six losses on their records.
Who has won more titles, Marvin Vettori or Jared Cannonier?
Both fighters have one MMA title each, but neither Vettori nor Cannonier have won a UFC belt. Vettori became Venator FC Welterweight Champion in May 2015 after beating Daniele Scatizzi by decision. Cannonier claimed the AFC Heavyweight Championship belt with a split decision win over Tony Lopez in January 2014.
Planning to place a few bets while watching the fight? Check out our best live betting sites.
Who is more likely to get KO’d, Vettori or Cannonier?
Based on what we’ve said in this UFC Vegas 75 betting preview, Cannonier is more likely to get knocked out. This is based on the fact Vettori has never been stopped and Cannonier has two TKO/KO losses. Having said this, our analysis suggests Cannonier is the cleaner striker, so he may upset the odds.
Which fighter has been more active recently, Marvin Vettori or Jared Cannonier?
Marvin Vettori fought most recently, getting a unanimous decision win over Roman Dolidze at UFC 286 in March 2023. Cannonier hasn’t fought since December 2022 when he got a split decision win over Sean Strickland.
About the author
Daniel Smyth
Daniel Smyth has seen the online poker, casino, and betting industry from every angle. He previously played poker semi-professionally before working at WPT Magazine as a writer and editor. From there, he transitioned to online gaming where he’s been producing expert content for over 10 years.
Follow Daniel on Twitter @DanSmythThePoet
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