THREE draws in three games means Arsenal's trip to Manchester City is a do or die encounter.
A supercomputer has calculated both teams' chances of winning the title based on the three possible results from Wednesday's crunch clash.
Arsenal fans are already well aware of it, but a loss would effectively put an end to their title charge.
Defeat at the Etihad would leave the Gunners with a lowly nine per cent chance of winning the Premier League, according to Opta.
Even a point at the Etihad makes City strong favourites for the trophy.
If the game does end all square, Pep Guardiola's side will have a 72 per cent chance of lifting the title.
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But a win for the Gunners would put them in the driving seat to win the Prem for the first time since the 2004 Invincibles.
However, Opta have given Arsenal just a 15 per cent chance of taking all three points back to North London.
In a huge blow for boss Mikel Arteta, key defender William Saliba is again set to miss out through injury.
There are even fears the French defender could be out for the remainder of the season.
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Arteta's side go into the clash five points clear of City at the top of the table – but having played twice more than their title rivals.
And recent history in the fixture does not favour the Gunners.
City have won the last 11 Premier League clashes between the two sides and have not lost to Arsenal at home since January 2015.
Man City vs Arsenal – all you need to know ahead of the massive Premier League showdown.
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