POLICE need to focus on seven key clues in the search for Nicola Bulley, two former top detectives say.
The missing mum, 45, disappeared after dropping her children off at school in St Michael's on Wyre, Lancashire, on Friday January 27.
But as the police search heads out to the Irish Sea, 15-days since Nicola vanished – there has been no sign of the mortgage advisor.
Mark Williams-Thomas, an ex-detective who exposed Jimmy Savile, and former Scotland Yard veteran Mick Neville shared their analysis of a case that has rocked Britain.
They believe clues now range from the mum-of-two's Fitbit to potential sex offenders operating in the area.
Danger of specific searches on River Wyre
Speaking to MailOnline, Mr Neville, formerly head of Lambeth's Missing Persons unit, branded it "strange" why investigators focused on a specific stretch of the River Wyre near St Michael's on Wyre.
"I would have put an object of her weight and size in the river to estimate how far she may have gone", he suggested, stressing Nicola could be "four miles away" by now.
Despite supporting the police's view Nicola ended up in the river, he stressed the search should have been expanded sooner to prevent a body reaching the sea.
Peter Faulding, who helped lead the search for the mum near to where she vanished claimed it was "near impossible" the mum was carried out to sea.
Cordoning off the bench
Both ex-detectives blasted the slow reaction by cops to close the scene, suggesting it should have been treated like a murder or abduction.
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Mr Williams-Thomas says he would have cordoned off the area near the bench where Nicola's phone and dog harness were found "within 48 hours".
The scene has remained open to the public and attracted ghouls, some seen filming themselves on the notorious bench.
Mr Neville added: "There could have been something of forensic value there."
Dog, phone, harness
Mr Neville said the discovery of these three items on the now notorious bench makes him feel "something is really wrong".
He suggests Willow, the brown spaniel with Nicola on the walk before she vanished, may have "knocked her in the river" when running around off the lead.
The ex-detective said a lack of "foot slip marks" or disturbed ground on the riverbank should not rule out that she "most likely" fell in.
The mutt was later found near the bench, wandering around dry when discovered by a walker.
Fitbit
Mr Neville suggested Nicola's Fitbit, worn the day she vanished, "will show her heartbeat" and data could show if this stopped at any time or changed.
If set up in a particular way, the waterproof fitness device may have synced crucial data with her phone, discovered on the bench after she vanished.
It is yet unclear whether police have been able to access data from Nicola's wrist device.
Third party
Every single person caught on CCTV at the time of Nicola's disappearance has been located – but this does not rule out seen.
"Police will also be looking at registered sex offenders that are in or anywhere near the area", Mr Neville said.
This key enquiry could allow cops to build up a complete picture to both rule out and probe further as possible third parties.
Police have rejected third party and criminal involvement but say they are keeping an "open mind" on Nicola's disappearance.
Other paths
Despite agreeing on balance with cops' theory Nicola fell in the river, Nicola leaving the field she vanished from via a path should not be ruled out, Mr Neville said.
Three paths lead to the River Wyre, two of which are covered by cameras.
But the ex-cop suggests there is a possibility the mum-of-two could have excited the field in "unconventional" way by "scrambling".
"Has anything happened there, or is there any evidence that might have been missed?", he added.
'More to this'
Mark Williams-Thomas told MailOnline how police giving an impression they have more knowledge, in contrary to what the family are saying in their appeals, could hold the "sad" truth.
He explained: "I have investigated enough murders and missing people and this to me seems like there is something more to it.
"Something pretty sad."
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Despite this, he did stress he never liked to give "over-credit" that the police may know more than the public.
But he insists he himself would have treated Nicola's case as a "murder or abduction" within 48-hours.
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